Monday, 11 October 2004

The best of Monday\’s papers

Filed under: Election 04 — Rick Eyre @ 1:00 pm

How on earth could we have put this scheming, mendacious little man and his miserable claque back in office for another three years? Worse, how could we have brought them to the very brink of absolute control of the nation’s entire parliamentary process and authority?

Very easily, as things turned out, to the cost of the rest of us and our national self-respect.

For almost nine years this Government, incompetent in most everything except mediocrity, debauched its word and the people’s trust, along with voters’ gullibility, their ignorance, their taxes and, in the end, their greedy self-interest.

And so Alan Ramsey, the Sydney Morning Herald’s senior political correspondent in Canberra begins his column in this morning’s edition.

More from today’s papers:

Editorial in today’s Australian:

For the entire eight years of the Howard Government, the Senate has not been a chamber of review. Instead it has been two things: a chamber of special interests, and a chamber where hostile inquiries could be set up as a check on the power of executive government – for example, the children overboard inquiry. The fact the Senate will no longer be the latter is a loss, but can be compensated by the fact it will also no longer be the former.

Matt Price in The Australian:

Kim Beazley was gracious and correct to point out that when Latham took over from Crean, the entire party feared a catastrophic train wreck. After months of daring to dream of victory, Latham, Gartrell and Co have reduced the damage to a serious derailment.

Hugh Mackay in The Age:

John Howard neutralised his only real weakness going into this election - voters’ scepticism about his handling of the truth and his capacity to admit error - by effectively distinguishing between “truth” and “trust”. He knew many voters believed he had lied to them on various occasions, but he also knew they trusted him on economic management and respected his tough talk on security.

John Button, minister in the Hawke and Keating governments, in The Age:

At the next election Howard will be even more “experienced” than he is now. Mark Latham will be the leader of the ALP, most likely because there is no one else. He will be described in The Age editorial as “a work in progress”, a memorable phrase because it’s the most widely used and silliest journalistic cliche of the 2004 election. So it will be worth repeating.

What will change of course is the external circumstances: the global economy, international political alliances, attitudes to sustainability, the economic and political situation of our neighbours. But as Australians are not much interested in these things, the concentration will be on parochial issues.

Editorial, The Age:

Mr Howard is disliked by many Australians. There are many who believe that he is not open and honest, that he has not set the sort of standards in government that he promised he would set when he first won office in 1996. There are many who excoriate him and his government for their policies on refugees, for their commitment to the war in Iraq, for the tawdry children overboard affair. But the fact is that they are a minority.

Editorial, the Herald-Sun:

John Howard’s remarkable win has handed this tough and intuitive politician a well-earned place in Australian political history. But it is much more than a personal triumph: voters have also handed the Prime Minister a convincing mandate to press ahead with reform. There is much to do.

Editorial, the Courier-Mail:

The Howard Government has a more centralist, anti-states’-rights outlook than any government in the past 30 years. It has the power to implement these programs, beginning with its own technical colleges and with grants directly to P&C organisations for school improvements. It has a historic opportunity to make changes. What matters now is how it uses that opportunity.

Editorial, the Advertiser:

The Australian people have trusted him for the next three years. He needs to trust them enough to make his intentions for his own future clearer.

And, as matter of record, I give you a link to Belford Parrot’s spray on the Channel 9 Today Show this morning.

Finally, in business and finance: at 1pm Monday the ASX/S&P200 (almost, but not quite the All Ordinaries) is up 15.1 points to 3701.9, the Aussie dollar is worth 73.42 US cents, 40.90 pence, and 59.18 Euro cents, and Telstra shares have risen nearly 3 per cent this morning to $4.85.

A new era of great achievement

Filed under: Election 04 — Rick Eyre @ 9:35 am

This nation stands on the threshold of a new era of great achievement.

- John Howard, victory acceptance speech, 9.10.04

It is 3145 days since the Liberal and National parties were elected to government. Looks like we will have them for at least another thousand.

The best thing that can be said about the Labor Party’s performance in the House of Representatives is that they did not lose any major talent. Those Labor MHR’s who appear to be on the way out are: Michelle O’Byrne (Bass), Con Sciacca (Bonner), Sid Sidebottom (Braddon), Sharryn Jackson (Hasluck), Jann McFarlane (Stirling), Kim Wilkie (Swan), Martyn Evans (Wakefield). Sciacca was a junior minister in the Keating days.

For the Government, Ross Cameron has been uprooted from Parramatta, while Larry (son of Doug, grandson of Larry) Anthony has been rolled in Richmond. What will become of larry.com.au now?

The real chill comes in the Senate. The Coalition will have at least 38 seats out of 76, and possibly 39, if Barnaby Joyce of the Nationals can get the final spot in Queensland ahead of Drew Hutton of the Greens. (Pauline Hanson seems to be out of the hunt, thankfully.)

In Victoria, Family First (with 1.9% of the statewide senate primary vote) look like gaining a senator in the form of Steve Fielding. They have said they won’t support the Government in the sale of Telstra, but we’ll wait and see. Such are the nuances of the preferential voting system that they will probably beat The Greens (8.66%) for Victoria’s last senate seat. Either result will see Labor’s Jacinta Collins on her bike.

Also taking that bicycle ride into the sunset are all three Democrat senators who stood for election: former acting leader Brian Greig, former deputy leader Aden Ridgeway, and John Cherry, one of only two of the seven Democrat senators who has been neither leader nor deputy lleader of the party at one time or another. Farewells also to former Democrat leader Meg Lees (whose Australian Progressive Alliance progressed nowhere at this election) and One Nation’s last (and hopefully final) remaining representative in Canberra, Len Harris.

The Greens have at least a third senator now, Christine Milne from Tasmania. They might get others, possibly in Queensland and WA. John Kaye in New South Wales appears to be out of contention with the ALP likely to retain the sixth.

More analysis of the Senate and the preferential system later today (or simply later). I also want to look at the demographics of Grayndler and Sydney electorates (and a place still dear to my heart, Shortland), and a bit of a Where-to for the Labor Party.

The ALP is under threat of losing many long-term supporters permanently to The Greens. I should know, I’m one of them.

Empire Notes

Filed under: Democracy — HRW @ 7:28 am

October 10, 4:15 pm.
http://www.empirenotes.org/#10oct041
October 10, 4:15 pm. Two of the 15 Afghan presidential candidates (Karzai was the 16th) who said they wouldn’t recognize the election results backed off of that position and said they would accept the findings of an independent commission set up to evaluate it (Mohammed Mohaqiq, the Hazara candidate, and Masooda Jalal, the only female candidate, were the two). And, in fact, such a commission will …